Title2.2%+0.2 ppTop 834.3%+6.9 ppTop 2492.0%+5.7 pp
1,366,893 matching universesVillarreal
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
64.7#35 of 36
ProfileAbove-average historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence9 historical contexts
Scoring75
Wins73
Goal balance73
Results72
Prevention54
Clean sheets35
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 4 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title2.0%
Top 827.4%
Top 2486.3%
Play-off58.9%
Round of 1661.8%
Quarter-final29.7%
Semi-final13.0%
Final5.1%
Expected league-phase position14.57
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Villarreal vs NapoliMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title1.6%-0.4 ppTop 815.4%-12.0 ppTop 2478.8%-7.5 pp
322,123 matching universesTitle1.3%-0.7 ppTop 89.4%-18.0 ppTop 2468.8%-17.5 pp
310,984 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title2.0%Baseline
Top 827.4%Baseline
Top 2486.3%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position21Points0Played1Goal diff.-1Goals2Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
vs NapoliTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs NapoliTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at LiverpoolTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at LiverpoolTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs Paris Saint-GermainTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs Paris Saint-GermainTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at Slavia PrahaWed 25 Nov, 17:45 UTC
at Slavia PrahaWed 25 Nov, 17:45 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.L
Borussia Dortmund2–3
Borussia Dortmund2–3