Disclaimer

ProbGoal is an independent football analytics and editorial project created and maintained by Laércio Rehem. It is not affiliated with, sponsored by, endorsed by or acting on behalf of UEFA, any football association, participating club, broadcaster, sportsbook, media company or data provider unless a specific relationship is expressly stated.

Statistical estimates — not guarantees or betting advice

Probabilities, rankings, simulations and projected outcomes are model-generated estimates conditioned on available data, model assumptions and competition rules encoded at the time of calculation. They are not statements of fact, guarantees, official odds, betting recommendations, financial advice or a wagering service. Sporting outcomes can change because of events the model cannot know in advance.

Live scores and third-party data

Scores, match status, events, lineups, statistics, schedules and other factual data may originate from third-party public or configured sources and may be delayed, incomplete, unavailable, revised or incorrect. ProbGoal applies validation and fallback controls, but does not warrant that third-party data is error-free or real-time. Official competition records and announcements prevail whenever there is a discrepancy.

Editorial and AI assistance

Some ProbGoal analysis may be generated or assisted by artificial intelligence from a locked factual payload prepared by ProbGoal. Automated checks are designed to reject unsupported percentages, scorelines and fact references before publication, but no automated process can guarantee that every sentence is error-free. Material corrections may be published when identified.

Names, crests and intellectual property

Competition names, club names, crests, logos, trademarks and other protected identifiers remain the property of their respective rights holders. They are referenced solely for identification, reporting, commentary and sporting context. Their appearance does not imply sponsorship, endorsement, partnership or licence.

No match-media hosting

ProbGoal does not host, retransmit or redistribute live match video or audio. Where an external service is referenced, access, territorial availability and rights restrictions are controlled by that service and the relevant rights holders.

Availability and corrections

The site, datasets and model outputs may be corrected, updated, suspended or withdrawn when source data, official regulations or model validation require it. Update timestamps shown beside data describe the latest ProbGoal snapshot or verification time known to that page; they do not guarantee that every upstream source changed at that exact moment.

Use of the information

You remain responsible for decisions made using information displayed on ProbGoal. Nothing on this site should be treated as an official competition record or as a substitute for checking the relevant official source where accuracy is critical.

Corrections, credit and rights requests

For factual corrections, attribution questions, intellectual-property concerns or requests to review/remove material, contact contact@probgoal.com. Requests will be reviewed in good faith.

Legal limits

Nothing in this disclaimer excludes or limits any responsibility, remedy or statutory right that cannot lawfully be excluded or limited.