Viking

NOR · Champions League 2026/27Probabilities updated Probabilities live
Viking crest
NOR

Viking

Official draw · Pot 4
All teams →
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE

Historical performance profile

74.3#23 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence2 historical contexts
Scoring88
Results85
Wins83
Goal balance81
Prevention59
Clean sheets47

PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · Current-season evidence has not started yet.

Tournament probabilities

Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.
Full table →
Title0.02%
Top 81.8%
Top 2433.1%
Play-off31.3%
Round of 1610.7%
Quarter-final2.3%
Semi-final0.46%
Final0.08%
Expected league-phase position26.71
WHAT IF

If this club wins, draws or loses…

Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.
Viking vs Bayern MünchenMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
WIN
Title0.03%+0.01 ppTop 86.6%+4.9 ppTop 2460.5%+27.4 pp
299,312 matching universes
DRAW
Title0.02%+0.00 ppTop 81.8%+0.01 ppTop 2438.0%+4.9 pp
269,739 matching universes
LOSS
Title0.01%-0.00 ppTop 80.74%-1.0 ppTop 2426.4%-6.7 pp
1,430,949 matching universes

Conditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.

Probability history

Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.
Movers →
Title0.02%Baseline
Top 81.8%Baseline
Top 2433.1%Baseline
Matchday 1

The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.

Competition status

Observed results only.
Standings →
Position30Points0Played1Goal diff.-2Goals1Clean sheets0

Next matches

Official league-phase schedule.
Matchday 2vs Bayern MünchenTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 3at Aston VillaWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 4vs SabahWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Matchday 5at Atlético de MadridWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Latest results

Verified final matches.
Results →
LStuttgart1–3