Title6.0%+0.8 ppTop 862.9%+19.7 ppTop 2498.8%+4.7 pp
724,601 matching universesSporting CP
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
84.0#10 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalPrevention
WatchClean sheets
Evidence11 historical contexts
Prevention88
Goal balance87
Results83
Scoring82
Wins81
Clean sheets77
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 5 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title5.1%
Top 843.1%
Top 2494.1%
Play-off50.9%
Round of 1676.8%
Quarter-final44.1%
Semi-final23.1%
Final11.2%
Expected league-phase position11.21
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Lens vs Sporting CPMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Title5.1%-0.07 ppTop 839.7%-3.5 ppTop 2494.5%+0.5 pp
457,315 matching universesTitle4.4%-0.7 ppTop 827.6%-15.5 ppTop 2489.7%-4.4 pp
818,084 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title5.1%Baseline
Top 843.1%Baseline
Top 2494.1%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position6Points3Played1Goal diff.+2Goals3Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at LensTue 13 Oct, 16:45 UTC
at LensTue 13 Oct, 16:45 UTCMatchday 3
vs LASKWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs LASKWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
at Shakhtar DonetskTue 03 Nov, 17:45 UTC
at Shakhtar DonetskTue 03 Nov, 17:45 UTCMatchday 5
vs Manchester UnitedWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs Manchester UnitedWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Galatasaray3–1
Galatasaray3–1