Title0.16%+0.04 ppTop 810.0%+3.8 ppTop 2470.3%+14.7 pp
1,013,005 matching universesShakhtar Donetsk
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
77.0#19 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence6 historical contexts
Scoring85
Goal balance81
Results77
Wins74
Prevention71
Clean sheets69
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · Current-season evidence has not started yet.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title0.12%
Top 86.2%
Top 2455.6%
Play-off49.4%
Round of 1624.4%
Quarter-final6.9%
Semi-final1.9%
Final0.44%
Expected league-phase position22.27
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK AthensMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title0.10%-0.02 ppTop 83.3%-2.9 ppTop 2447.0%-8.6 pp
471,828 matching universesTitle0.07%-0.06 ppTop 81.5%-4.7 ppTop 2434.6%-21.0 pp
515,167 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title0.12%Baseline
Top 86.2%Baseline
Top 2455.6%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position18Points1Played1Goal diff.0Goals1Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
vs AEK AthensWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs AEK AthensWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at InterWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at InterWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs Sporting CPTue 03 Nov, 17:45 UTC
vs Sporting CPTue 03 Nov, 17:45 UTCMatchday 5
vs FenerbahçeWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs FenerbahçeWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.D
PSV1–1
PSV1–1