Title11.6%+0.9 ppTop 882.0%+15.5 ppTop 2499.7%+1.4 pp
853,511 matching universesReal Madrid
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
89.7#4 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalWins
WatchClean sheets
Evidence10 historical contexts
Wins94
Scoring93
Results93
Goal balance92
Prevention87
Clean sheets79
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 4 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title10.7%
Top 866.4%
Top 2498.3%
Play-off31.9%
Round of 1689.9%
Quarter-final60.3%
Semi-final36.8%
Final20.7%
Expected league-phase position7.44
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Roma vs Real MadridMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title10.6%-0.1 ppTop 862.5%-3.9 ppTop 2498.4%+0.09 pp
461,626 matching universesTitle9.7%-1.0 ppTop 849.7%-16.7 ppTop 2496.5%-1.8 pp
684,863 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title10.7%Baseline
Top 866.4%Baseline
Top 2498.3%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position14Points3Played1Goal diff.+1Goals2Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at RomaWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at RomaWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
vs RB LeipzigWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs RB LeipzigWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
at AEK AthensWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTC
at AEK AthensWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTCMatchday 5
vs PSVTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs PSVTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Inter2–1
Inter2–1