Real Betis

ESP · Champions League 2026/27Probabilities updated Probabilities live
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ESP

Real Betis

Official draw · Pot 2
All teams →
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE

Historical performance profile

69.5#29 of 36
ProfileAbove-average historical profile
Strongest signalGoal balance
WatchClean sheets
Evidence10 historical contexts
Goal balance75
Results74
Wins72
Scoring69
Prevention68
Clean sheets57

PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 4 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.

Tournament probabilities

Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.
Full table →
Title1.0%
Top 824.0%
Top 2485.6%
Play-off61.6%
Round of 1655.0%
Quarter-final22.4%
Semi-final8.4%
Final2.8%
Expected league-phase position15.12
WHAT IF

If this club wins, draws or loses…

Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.
Real Betis vs PortoMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
WIN
Title1.2%+0.2 ppTop 837.1%+13.1 ppTop 2494.9%+9.3 pp
876,407 matching universes
DRAW
Title0.92%-0.09 ppTop 817.6%-6.4 ppTop 2483.6%-2.1 pp
517,382 matching universes
LOSS
Title0.74%-0.3 ppTop 810.5%-13.5 ppTop 2474.0%-11.6 pp
606,211 matching universes

Conditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.

Probability history

Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.
Movers →
Title1.0%Baseline
Top 824.0%Baseline
Top 2485.6%Baseline
Matchday 1

The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.

Competition status

Observed results only.
Standings →
Position11Points3Played1Goal diff.+1Goals3Clean sheets0

Next matches

Official league-phase schedule.
Matchday 2vs PortoWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 3vs FeyenoordWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 4at Borussia DortmundWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Matchday 5at Slovan BratislavaTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Latest results

Verified final matches.
Results →
WLille3–2