Title0.55%+0.2 ppTop 810.8%+5.0 ppTop 2470.5%+17.9 pp
861,109 matching universesRB Leipzig
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
72.1#27 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalPrevention
WatchScoring
Evidence10 historical contexts
Prevention75
Results74
Goal balance72
Wins72
Clean sheets71
Scoring70
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 2 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title0.39%
Top 85.8%
Top 2452.6%
Play-off46.8%
Round of 1627.7%
Quarter-final10.2%
Semi-final3.6%
Final1.2%
Expected league-phase position22.91
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.RB Leipzig vs PSVMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title0.33%-0.06 ppTop 83.3%-2.5 ppTop 2447.6%-5.0 pp
361,301 matching universesTitle0.23%-0.2 ppTop 81.5%-4.3 ppTop 2435.2%-17.5 pp
777,590 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title0.39%Baseline
Top 85.8%Baseline
Top 2452.6%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position32Points0Played1Goal diff.-3Goals1Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
vs PSVTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs PSVTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at Real MadridWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Real MadridWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs Manchester CityWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs Manchester CityWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
vs LensTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs LensTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.L
Como1–4
Como1–4