Title2.6%+0.6 ppTop 837.5%+15.0 ppTop 2493.3%+11.5 pp
777,590 matching universesPSV
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
78.7#17 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence11 historical contexts
Scoring90
Goal balance86
Results83
Wins82
Prevention69
Clean sheets55
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 5 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title2.0%
Top 822.6%
Top 2481.8%
Play-off59.2%
Round of 1657.9%
Quarter-final28.1%
Semi-final12.5%
Final5.1%
Expected league-phase position15.88
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.RB Leipzig vs PSVMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title1.8%-0.2 ppTop 818.3%-4.3 ppTop 2481.5%-0.3 pp
361,301 matching universesTitle1.6%-0.4 ppTop 810.8%-11.7 ppTop 2471.5%-10.2 pp
861,109 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title2.0%Baseline
Top 822.6%Baseline
Top 2481.8%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position20Points1Played1Goal diff.0Goals1Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at RB LeipzigTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at RB LeipzigTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at PortoTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at PortoTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs Club BruggeWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs Club BruggeWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at Real MadridTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at Real MadridTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.D
Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
Shakhtar Donetsk1–1