Porto

POR · Champions League 2026/27Probabilities updated Probabilities live
Porto crest
POR

Porto

Official draw · Pot 2
All teams →
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE

Historical performance profile

86.2#8 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalClean sheets
WatchScoring
Evidence10 historical contexts
Clean sheets90
Prevention88
Wins86
Results86
Goal balance85
Scoring84

PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 5 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.

Tournament probabilities

Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.
Full table →
Title0.91%
Top 813.3%
Top 2474.1%
Play-off60.8%
Round of 1643.8%
Quarter-final17.9%
Semi-final6.9%
Final2.5%
Expected league-phase position18.43
WHAT IF

If this club wins, draws or loses…

Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.
Real Betis vs PortoMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
WIN
Title1.3%+0.4 ppTop 826.7%+13.4 ppTop 2489.6%+15.4 pp
606,211 matching universes
DRAW
Title0.88%-0.02 ppTop 810.8%-2.6 ppTop 2474.5%+0.4 pp
517,382 matching universes
LOSS
Title0.67%-0.2 ppTop 85.6%-7.8 ppTop 2463.3%-10.9 pp
876,407 matching universes

Conditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.

Probability history

Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.
Movers →
Title0.91%Baseline
Top 813.3%Baseline
Top 2474.1%Baseline
Matchday 1

The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.

Competition status

Observed results only.
Standings →
Position31Points0Played1Goal diff.-2Goals0Clean sheets0

Next matches

Official league-phase schedule.
Matchday 2at Real BetisWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 3vs PSVTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 4vs NapoliWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Matchday 5at FeyenoordTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Latest results

Verified final matches.
Results →
LManchester City0–2