Title3.8%+0.7 ppTop 853.4%+20.5 ppTop 2497.4%+8.1 pp
597,156 matching universesParis Saint-Germain
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
95.5#1 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalGoal balance
WatchClean sheets
Evidence5 historical contexts
Goal balance98
Scoring98
Results98
Wins97
Prevention93
Clean sheets88
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · Current-season evidence has not started yet.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title3.1%
Top 833.0%
Top 2489.4%
Play-off56.4%
Round of 1667.4%
Quarter-final35.1%
Semi-final16.7%
Final7.3%
Expected league-phase position13.31
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Manchester City vs Paris Saint-GermainMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title3.0%-0.05 ppTop 831.3%-1.7 ppTop 2490.4%+1.0 pp
457,704 matching universesTitle2.7%-0.4 ppTop 820.9%-12.1 ppTop 2483.8%-5.6 pp
945,140 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title3.1%Baseline
Top 833.0%Baseline
Top 2489.4%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position1Points3Played1Goal diff.+5Goals6Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at Manchester CityWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Manchester CityWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
vs BarcelonaTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs BarcelonaTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
at VillarrealTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at VillarrealTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
vs RomaWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs RomaWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Slovan Bratislava6–1
Slovan Bratislava6–1