Title0.04%+0.02 ppTop 85.5%+4.1 ppTop 2459.0%+27.7 pp
310,984 matching universesNapoli
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
74.7#22 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalResults
WatchClean sheets
Evidence9 historical contexts
Results80
Wins79
Goal balance75
Scoring74
Prevention73
Clean sheets72
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 3 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title0.02%
Top 81.5%
Top 2431.3%
Play-off29.8%
Round of 1610.1%
Quarter-final2.2%
Semi-final0.45%
Final0.09%
Expected league-phase position27.03
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Villarreal vs NapoliMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title0.02%+0.00 ppTop 81.4%-0.03 ppTop 2435.6%+4.3 pp
322,123 matching universesTitle0.01%-0.01 ppTop 80.56%-0.9 ppTop 2424.0%-7.3 pp
1,366,893 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title0.02%Baseline
Top 81.5%Baseline
Top 2431.3%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position28Points0Played1Goal diff.-1Goals0Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at VillarrealTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at VillarrealTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
vs Bodø/GlimtTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs Bodø/GlimtTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
at PortoWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at PortoWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at Manchester CityTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at Manchester CityTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.L
Arsenal0–1
Arsenal0–1