Title1.9%+0.4 ppTop 838.7%+15.4 ppTop 2494.4%+11.9 pp
684,851 matching universesManchester United
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
67.1#33 of 36
ProfileAbove-average historical profile
Strongest signalWins
WatchClean sheets
Evidence9 historical contexts
Wins72
Results72
Goal balance70
Scoring70
Prevention66
Clean sheets48
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 3 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title1.4%
Top 823.3%
Top 2482.6%
Play-off59.3%
Round of 1655.8%
Quarter-final25.0%
Semi-final10.3%
Final3.8%
Expected league-phase position15.71
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester UnitedMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title1.4%-0.07 ppTop 820.0%-3.2 ppTop 2483.0%+0.4 pp
440,288 matching universesTitle1.1%-0.3 ppTop 812.8%-10.5 ppTop 2473.1%-9.5 pp
874,861 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title1.4%Baseline
Top 823.3%Baseline
Top 2482.6%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position4Points3Played1Goal diff.+4Goals4Clean sheets1
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at Atlético de MadridTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Atlético de MadridTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at ComoWed 21 Oct, 16:45 UTC
at ComoWed 21 Oct, 16:45 UTCMatchday 4
vs RomaTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs RomaTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at Sporting CPWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at Sporting CPWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Sabah4–0
Sabah4–0