Title4.3%+0.6 ppTop 855.3%+15.5 ppTop 2498.1%+4.9 pp
945,140 matching universesManchester City
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
87.4#6 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence10 historical contexts
Scoring91
Goal balance89
Wins88
Results87
Prevention84
Clean sheets84
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 3 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title3.7%
Top 839.8%
Top 2493.2%
Play-off53.4%
Round of 1673.1%
Quarter-final39.2%
Semi-final19.1%
Final8.6%
Expected league-phase position11.79
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Manchester City vs Paris Saint-GermainMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title3.5%-0.2 ppTop 832.0%-7.8 ppTop 2492.1%-1.1 pp
457,704 matching universesTitle3.0%-0.7 ppTop 821.2%-18.6 ppTop 2486.2%-7.0 pp
597,156 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title3.7%Baseline
Top 839.8%Baseline
Top 2493.2%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position8Points3Played1Goal diff.+2Goals2Clean sheets1
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
vs Paris Saint-GermainWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs Paris Saint-GermainWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
vs AEK AthensTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs AEK AthensTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
at RB LeipzigWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at RB LeipzigWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
vs NapoliTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs NapoliTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Porto2–0
Porto2–0