Title3.4%+0.4 ppTop 854.7%+11.3 ppTop 2497.5%+4.1 pp
1,152,105 matching universesLiverpool
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
84.7#9 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalGoal balance
WatchPrevention
Evidence10 historical contexts
Goal balance90
Wins90
Results89
Scoring87
Clean sheets83
Prevention75
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 3 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title3.0%
Top 843.4%
Top 2493.5%
Play-off50.0%
Round of 1673.3%
Quarter-final37.8%
Semi-final17.4%
Final7.3%
Expected league-phase position11.28
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.LASK vs LiverpoolMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Title2.7%-0.3 ppTop 832.7%-10.7 ppTop 2490.9%-2.5 pp
441,001 matching universesTitle2.3%-0.7 ppTop 823.2%-20.3 ppTop 2484.7%-8.8 pp
406,894 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title3.0%Baseline
Top 843.4%Baseline
Top 2493.5%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position13Points3Played1Goal diff.+1Goals2Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at LASKWed 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC
at LASKWed 14 Oct, 16:45 UTCMatchday 3
vs VillarrealTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs VillarrealTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
at FenerbahçeWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTC
at FenerbahçeWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTCMatchday 5
at Club BruggeWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at Club BruggeWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Atlético de Madrid2–1
Atlético de Madrid2–1