Title2.6%+0.5 ppTop 848.9%+16.3 ppTop 2496.6%+7.4 pp
818,084 matching universesLens
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
76.8#20 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalPrevention
WatchScoring
Evidence7 historical contexts
Prevention85
Clean sheets83
Results76
Wins76
Goal balance75
Scoring69
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 3 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title2.1%
Top 832.6%
Top 2489.1%
Play-off56.5%
Round of 1664.7%
Quarter-final31.0%
Semi-final13.5%
Final5.3%
Expected league-phase position13.42
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Lens vs Sporting CPMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Title2.0%-0.1 ppTop 827.3%-5.3 ppTop 2488.5%-0.6 pp
457,315 matching universesTitle1.7%-0.5 ppTop 817.6%-15.0 ppTop 2481.1%-8.0 pp
724,601 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title2.1%Baseline
Top 832.6%Baseline
Top 2489.1%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position10Points3Played1Goal diff.+1Goals3Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
vs Sporting CPTue 13 Oct, 16:45 UTC
vs Sporting CPTue 13 Oct, 16:45 UTCMatchday 3
at Club BruggeWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Club BruggeWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs ComoWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs ComoWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at RB LeipzigTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at RB LeipzigTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Slavia Praha3–2
Slavia Praha3–2