Inter

ITA · Champions League 2026/27Probabilities updated Probabilities live
Inter crest
ITA

Inter

Official draw · Pot 1
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PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE

Historical performance profile

89.1#5 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalWins
WatchScoring
Evidence10 historical contexts
Wins93
Results91
Clean sheets91
Goal balance91
Prevention89
Scoring85

PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 3 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.

Tournament probabilities

Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.
Full table →
Title0.65%
Top 813.8%
Top 2471.9%
Play-off58.2%
Round of 1641.9%
Quarter-final16.2%
Semi-final5.8%
Final1.9%
Expected league-phase position18.71
WHAT IF

If this club wins, draws or loses…

Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.
Inter vs Club BruggeMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
WIN
Title0.79%+0.1 ppTop 820.1%+6.3 ppTop 2483.1%+11.2 pp
1,121,821 matching universes
DRAW
Title0.52%-0.1 ppTop 87.7%-6.1 ppTop 2464.3%-7.6 pp
399,237 matching universes
LOSS
Title0.41%-0.2 ppTop 84.2%-9.6 ppTop 2452.1%-19.9 pp
478,942 matching universes

Conditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.

Probability history

Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.
Movers →
Title0.65%Baseline
Top 813.8%Baseline
Top 2471.9%Baseline
Matchday 1

The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.

Competition status

Observed results only.
Standings →
Position26Points0Played1Goal diff.-1Goals1Clean sheets0

Next matches

Official league-phase schedule.
Matchday 2vs Club BruggeTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 3vs Shakhtar DonetskWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 4at FeyenoordTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Matchday 5vs StuttgartWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Latest results

Verified final matches.
Results →
LReal Madrid1–2