Galatasaray

TUR · Champions League 2026/27Probabilities updated Probabilities live
Galatasaray crest
TUR

Galatasaray

Official draw · Pot 3
All teams →
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE

Historical performance profile

73.6#24 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence7 historical contexts
Scoring80
Results76
Wins74
Goal balance73
Prevention69
Clean sheets68

PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · Current-season evidence has not started yet.

Tournament probabilities

Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.
Full table →
Title0.30%
Top 85.7%
Top 2454.3%
Play-off48.6%
Round of 1626.8%
Quarter-final9.2%
Semi-final3.0%
Final0.91%
Expected league-phase position22.63
WHAT IF

If this club wins, draws or loses…

Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.
Galatasaray vs BarcelonaMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
WIN
Title0.48%+0.2 ppTop 814.1%+8.4 ppTop 2476.4%+22.0 pp
493,409 matching universes
DRAW
Title0.30%+0.01 ppTop 84.7%-1.0 ppTop 2455.7%+1.4 pp
446,597 matching universes
LOSS
Title0.21%-0.09 ppTop 82.2%-3.5 ppTop 2443.5%-10.8 pp
1,059,994 matching universes

Conditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.

Probability history

Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.
Movers →
Title0.30%Baseline
Top 85.7%Baseline
Top 2454.3%Baseline
Matchday 1

The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.

Competition status

Observed results only.
Standings →
Position29Points0Played1Goal diff.-2Goals1Clean sheets0

Next matches

Official league-phase schedule.
Matchday 2vs BarcelonaTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 3at LilleWed 21 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Matchday 4vs StuttgartTue 03 Nov, 17:45 UTC
Matchday 5vs Aston VillaTue 24 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Latest results

Verified final matches.
Results →
LSporting CP1–3