Feyenoord

NED · Champions League 2026/27Probabilities updated Probabilities live
Feyenoord crest
NED

Feyenoord

Official draw · Pot 3
All teams →
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE

Historical performance profile

82.2#11 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalGoal balance
WatchClean sheets
Evidence10 historical contexts
Goal balance86
Scoring86
Results84
Wins84
Prevention77
Clean sheets75

PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 5 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.

Tournament probabilities

Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.
Full table →
Title0.02%
Top 82.0%
Top 2434.2%
Play-off32.2%
Round of 1611.3%
Quarter-final2.4%
Semi-final0.50%
Final0.09%
Expected league-phase position26.48
WHAT IF

If this club wins, draws or loses…

Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.
Feyenoord vs ComoMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC
WIN
Title0.03%+0.01 ppTop 84.0%+2.0 ppTop 2451.2%+16.9 pp
794,501 matching universes
DRAW
Title0.02%-0.00 ppTop 81.00%-1.0 ppTop 2428.7%-5.5 pp
486,857 matching universes
LOSS
Title0.01%-0.01 ppTop 80.41%-1.6 ppTop 2419.2%-15.0 pp
718,642 matching universes

Conditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.

Probability history

Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.
Movers →
Title0.02%Baseline
Top 82.0%Baseline
Top 2434.2%Baseline
Matchday 1

The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.

Competition status

Observed results only.
Standings →
Position33Points0Played1Goal diff.-4Goals1Clean sheets0

Next matches

Official league-phase schedule.
Matchday 2vs ComoWed 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Matchday 3at Real BetisWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Matchday 4vs InterTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Matchday 5vs PortoTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Latest results

Verified final matches.
Results →
LBarcelona1–5