Title0.32%+0.1 ppTop 821.9%+12.4 ppTop 2485.5%+20.5 pp
479,814 matching universesFenerbahçe
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
81.0#12 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence7 historical contexts
Scoring85
Results83
Goal balance82
Wins80
Prevention79
Clean sheets74
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · Current-season evidence has not started yet.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title0.20%
Top 89.5%
Top 2465.0%
Play-off55.6%
Round of 1631.3%
Quarter-final9.5%
Semi-final2.7%
Final0.68%
Expected league-phase position20.35
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Aston Villa vs FenerbahçeMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title0.19%-0.01 ppTop 88.8%-0.7 ppTop 2467.8%+2.8 pp
413,045 matching universesTitle0.15%-0.05 ppTop 84.3%-5.1 ppTop 2455.1%-9.9 pp
1,107,141 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title0.20%Baseline
Top 89.5%Baseline
Top 2465.0%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position19Points1Played1Goal diff.0Goals1Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at Aston VillaWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Aston VillaWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
vs Slavia PrahaTue 20 Oct, 16:45 UTC
vs Slavia PrahaTue 20 Oct, 16:45 UTCMatchday 4
vs LiverpoolWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTC
vs LiverpoolWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTCMatchday 5
at Shakhtar DonetskWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at Shakhtar DonetskWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.D
Roma1–1
Roma1–1