Como

ITA · Champions League 2026/27Probabilities updated Probabilities live
Como crest
ITA

Como

Official draw · Pot 4
All teams →
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE

Historical performance profile

77.2#18 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence2 historical contexts
Goal balance80
Scoring80
Prevention79
Results74
Wins72
Clean sheets71

PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 3 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.

Tournament probabilities

Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.
Full table →
Title0.20%
Top 811.6%
Top 2470.8%
Play-off59.2%
Round of 1634.2%
Quarter-final10.2%
Semi-final2.8%
Final0.69%
Expected league-phase position19.16
WHAT IF

If this club wins, draws or loses…

Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.
Feyenoord vs ComoMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC
WIN
Title0.27%+0.08 ppTop 821.3%+9.7 ppTop 2488.0%+17.2 pp
718,642 matching universes
DRAW
Title0.18%-0.01 ppTop 88.5%-3.1 ppTop 2469.4%-1.4 pp
486,857 matching universes
LOSS
Title0.14%-0.06 ppTop 84.7%-6.9 ppTop 2456.2%-14.6 pp
794,501 matching universes

Conditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.

Probability history

Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.
Movers →
Title0.20%Baseline
Top 811.6%Baseline
Top 2470.8%Baseline
Matchday 1

The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.

Competition status

Observed results only.
Standings →
Position5Points3Played1Goal diff.+3Goals4Clean sheets0

Next matches

Official league-phase schedule.
Matchday 2at FeyenoordWed 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Matchday 3vs Manchester UnitedWed 21 Oct, 16:45 UTC
Matchday 4at LensWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Matchday 5vs AEK AthensTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Latest results

Verified final matches.
Results →
WRB Leipzig4–1