Title1.8%+0.4 ppTop 852.1%+21.7 ppTop 2497.4%+8.8 pp
549,156 matching universesBorussia Dortmund
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
79.2#16 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence11 historical contexts
Scoring85
Goal balance82
Wins82
Results81
Prevention73
Clean sheets71
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 2 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title1.4%
Top 830.4%
Top 2488.6%
Play-off58.2%
Round of 1661.6%
Quarter-final27.1%
Semi-final10.6%
Final3.8%
Expected league-phase position13.81
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia DortmundMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title1.3%-0.02 ppTop 829.8%-0.6 ppTop 2490.4%+1.8 pp
393,213 matching universesTitle1.2%-0.2 ppTop 819.3%-11.1 ppTop 2483.4%-5.2 pp
1,057,631 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title1.4%Baseline
Top 830.4%Baseline
Top 2488.6%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position12Points3Played1Goal diff.+1Goals3Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at Bodø/GlimtWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Bodø/GlimtWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at SabahTue 20 Oct, 16:45 UTC
at SabahTue 20 Oct, 16:45 UTCMatchday 4
vs Real BetisWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs Real BetisWed 04 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at ArsenalTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at ArsenalTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Villarreal3–2
Villarreal3–2