Title24.5%+0.5 ppTop 890.3%+5.7 ppTop 2499.9%+0.3 pp
1,430,949 matching universesBayern München
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
92.8#3 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence10 historical contexts
Scoring97
Goal balance97
Results96
Wins96
Prevention88
Clean sheets79
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 2 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title24.1%
Top 884.6%
Top 2499.6%
Play-off15.0%
Round of 1697.1%
Quarter-final76.1%
Semi-final55.8%
Final38.8%
Expected league-phase position4.51
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Viking vs Bayern MünchenMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title23.4%-0.6 ppTop 875.6%-9.0 ppTop 2499.4%-0.3 pp
269,739 matching universesTitle22.5%-1.6 ppTop 865.3%-19.3 ppTop 2498.5%-1.1 pp
299,312 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title24.1%Baseline
Top 884.6%Baseline
Top 2499.6%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position2Points3Played1Goal diff.+5Goals5Clean sheets1
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at VikingTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at VikingTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
vs ArsenalWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs ArsenalWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
at Atlético de MadridTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at Atlético de MadridTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at LilleWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at LilleWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Bodø/Glimt5–0
Bodø/Glimt5–0