Title18.6%+0.9 ppTop 883.0%+11.8 ppTop 2499.8%+1.0 pp
1,059,994 matching universesBarcelona
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
86.4#7 of 36
ProfileElite historical profile
Strongest signalScoring
WatchClean sheets
Evidence12 historical contexts
Scoring95
Goal balance93
Results92
Wins91
Prevention75
Clean sheets71
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · 4 current-season matches are being observed in shadow mode.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title17.7%
Top 871.2%
Top 2498.8%
Play-off27.6%
Round of 1692.9%
Quarter-final68.3%
Semi-final46.9%
Final30.4%
Expected league-phase position6.65
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Galatasaray vs BarcelonaMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title17.2%-0.5 ppTop 864.2%-7.0 ppTop 2498.6%-0.2 pp
446,597 matching universesTitle16.3%-1.4 ppTop 852.3%-18.9 ppTop 2496.8%-1.9 pp
493,409 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title17.7%Baseline
Top 871.2%Baseline
Top 2498.8%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position3Points3Played1Goal diff.+4Goals5Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at GalatasarayTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at GalatasarayTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at Paris Saint-GermainTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Paris Saint-GermainTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs Aston VillaTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs Aston VillaTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
at SabahWed 25 Nov, 17:45 UTC
at SabahWed 25 Nov, 17:45 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
Feyenoord5–1
Feyenoord5–1