Title0.67%+0.2 ppTop 810.4%+4.7 ppTop 2470.9%+17.2 pp
874,861 matching universesAtlético de Madrid
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
79.8#14 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalClean sheets
WatchScoring
Evidence3 historical contexts
Clean sheets87
Prevention81
Goal balance80
Results79
Wins78
Scoring77
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · Current-season evidence has not started yet.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title0.47%
Top 85.7%
Top 2453.7%
Play-off48.0%
Round of 1628.5%
Quarter-final10.9%
Semi-final4.0%
Final1.3%
Expected league-phase position22.72
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester UnitedMatchday 2 · 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title0.39%-0.08 ppTop 83.1%-2.6 ppTop 2447.7%-6.0 pp
440,288 matching universesTitle0.27%-0.2 ppTop 81.5%-4.3 ppTop 2435.5%-18.1 pp
684,851 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title0.47%Baseline
Top 85.7%Baseline
Top 2453.7%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position25Points0Played1Goal diff.-1Goals1Clean sheets0
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
vs Manchester UnitedTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
vs Manchester UnitedTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at StuttgartTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at StuttgartTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs Bayern MünchenTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs Bayern MünchenTue 03 Nov, 20:00 UTCMatchday 5
vs VikingWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTC
vs VikingWed 25 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.L
Liverpool1–2
Liverpool1–2