Title0.07%+0.03 ppTop 812.5%+7.2 ppTop 2477.9%+24.4 pp
515,167 matching universesAEK Athens
PG SCORE · OBSERVED PERFORMANCE
Historical performance profile
79.3#15 of 36
ProfileStrong historical profile
Strongest signalClean sheets
WatchResults
Evidence3 historical contexts
Clean sheets84
Prevention82
Goal balance80
Scoring79
Wins75
Results74
PG Score is not Power and not title chance. It is a separate 0–100 descriptive index built from normalized observed results with a validated 540-day historical prior. Live five-dimension blend gated · Current-season evidence has not started yet.
Tournament probabilities
Official ProbGoal 2,000,000-run snapshot.Title0.04%
Top 85.3%
Top 2453.5%
Play-off48.1%
Round of 1619.6%
Quarter-final4.5%
Semi-final0.96%
Final0.18%
Expected league-phase position22.72
WHAT IF
If this club wins, draws or loses…
Conditional tournament probabilities from the same Monte Carlo universes.Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK AthensMatchday 2 · 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Title0.05%+0.01 ppTop 84.3%-1.1 ppTop 2454.2%+0.8 pp
471,828 matching universesTitle0.03%-0.02 ppTop 82.2%-3.1 ppTop 2440.7%-12.8 pp
1,013,005 matching universesConditioned on the selected 90-minute H/D/A result. Scorelines remain model-simulated inside each branch; ProbGoal does not impose an arbitrary 1–0, 1–1 or 0–1 score.
Probability history
Official published snapshots · no reconstructed backfill.Title0.04%Baseline
Top 85.3%Baseline
Top 2453.5%Baseline
Matchday 1
The archive preserves every official release. The visible trend and delta use the current production model only, so a model change is never silently presented as ordinary matchday movement.
Competition status
Observed results only.Position16Points3Played1Goal diff.+1Goals1Clean sheets1
Next matches
Official league-phase schedule.Matchday 2
at Shakhtar DonetskWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Shakhtar DonetskWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 3
at Manchester CityTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
at Manchester CityTue 20 Oct, 19:00 UTCMatchday 4
vs Real MadridWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTC
vs Real MadridWed 04 Nov, 17:45 UTCMatchday 5
at ComoTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTC
at ComoTue 24 Nov, 20:00 UTCLatest results
Verified final matches.W
LASK1–0
LASK1–0